Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-158/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has averaged 5.9 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard in recent days: 93rd percentile.
Pascal Siakam has played 36.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Bulls have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Raptors.

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