Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has tallied 5.9 assists per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 37.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Celtics have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Pascal Siakam will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player production for all stats.

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