Paolo Banchero Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 5.5 defensive rebounds per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile.
Paolo Banchero has tallied 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Suns have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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