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Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2025

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 44.8% on three-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a good matchup.

The Magic have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while on their home court.

The Magic will likely see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 7th-best in in the league with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 26.1 rate, Paolo Banchero's points per game have fallen this season to 20.1.

With respect to offense, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 111.0 points per game places 8th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

More Paolo Banchero Player Props

Paolo Banchero PointsPlayer Prop - 12/27/2025

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2025