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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 12/5/2025

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).
  • The 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic.
  • The Magic will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
  • The Magic check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last year's 26.1 clip, Paolo Banchero's points per game have regressed this year to 21.7.
  • In terms of 3-pointers, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 10.7 converted threes per game at home rates lowest in the league this year.
  • The matchup against the Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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