Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has compiled 30.2 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.1 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year.
Paolo Banchero has sunk 51.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.3% more than he's sunk overall this year at home.
Paolo Banchero has played 34.5 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Paolo Banchero will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Magic.
The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Orlando Magic.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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