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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2025

Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has totaled 30.7 points per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's totaled over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 34.3 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against Charlotte is a positive one for field goals; when the Hornets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the most baskets per game in the NBA this year (8.7).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero has sunk a terrific 6.1 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 5.1 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Orlando Magic check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Magic.

The Hornets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Magic.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Paolo Banchero will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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