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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has successfully made 10.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Paolo Banchero has made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season while playing on the road.

Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.9 minutes per game this year.

Compared to last year's 7.0 rate, Paolo Banchero's number of free throws has spiked this year to 8.2 free throws per game.

When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Orlando Magic's superb 25.0 foul shots per game rates 2nd-best in the league over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league while on the road this year.

The Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).

The Magic rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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