Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Paolo Banchero has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero places in the 86th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 32.4 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Magic are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 4th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 8th-best in in the league while on their home court with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
Favors Under
The Magic rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against Cleveland is a tough one; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are away from home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (13.5).
The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
In contrast to last year's 71.5% rate, Paolo Banchero's foul-shot effectiveness has tailed off this year to 63.6%.