Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero registers in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts at home, averaging 17.7 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.4 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on shot attempts from the field (best in the league) against the Hornets, making this a strong matchup.
The Orlando Magic have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Orlando Magic's subpar 104.0 points per game places fewest in the NBA this year.
The Magic have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Orlando Magic.
Paolo Banchero has made just 60.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 71.5 mark last year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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