Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 97th percentile for shots, putting up 18.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, compiling 5.5 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (15.8).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 5th-best in in the league while on the road with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Magic.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, struggling to get to the foul line.
Paolo Banchero will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower player performance across the board.

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