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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has totaled 24.5 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.

Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.4 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 32.1 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against Miami is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have put up the highest 3-point rate in the league this year (46.4%).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Orlando Magic rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year has been the Magic.

The Orlando Magic will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Paolo Banchero will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

More Paolo Banchero Player Props

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