Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has totaled a whopping 27.6 points per game this year, a significant increase from his 22.9 points per game last year.
Paolo Banchero has made 54.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Paolo Banchero rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.8 minutes per game this year.
In comparison to last year's 7.0 rate, Paolo Banchero's number of free throw attempts has jumped this year to 10.6 free throw attempts per game.
As a team, the Magic have been among the best at getting to the free-throw line: 8th-best in the league this year, drawing 22.7 foul shot attempts per game.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Magic's lackluster 104.5 points per game places fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Boston Celtics).
Paolo Banchero will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance for all stats.

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