Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 13, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 22.2 points per game on his home court since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.5 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 4th-highest three rate in the league this year (40.8%).
The Magic rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero has attempted 12.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 76th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for failed three-pointers on his home court, putting up an enormous 3.0 per game since the start of last season.
The Orlando Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Orlando Magic.

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