Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 9, 2025 11:04 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The matchup against Julius Randle is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game (4th percentile).

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