Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 30, 2024

Updated May 1, 2024 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 19.7 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Paolo Banchero has tallied 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 96th percentile.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Magic's remarkable 24.3 free throw attempts per game ranks best in the league this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Magic.
The Magic have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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