Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 19, 2024 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has made 57.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 23.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this season.
Paolo Banchero has played 34.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goal attempts (best in the league) against the Hornets, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Magic rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero has converted 6.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season while on his home court.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Orlando Magic will likely see a decline in plays today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
The matchup against Charlotte is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Hornets are the visiting team (3rd-least in the league).

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