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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has notched 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's notched overall this season at home.

Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.9 free throws per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to shooting, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 100.8 points per game ranks 4th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have totaled 11.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nets, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Nets).

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are on the road (least in the league).

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