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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2024

New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has posted 22.9 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 95th percentile.

Paolo Banchero has sunk 42.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 10.1% more than he's converted from three in all games this year away from home.

Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.8 minutes per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero lands in the 98th percentile for getting to the foul line, averaging an enormous 7.1 foul shots per game this year.

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Orlando Magic's fantastic 24.9 foul shots per game when playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 18.6% on 3-pointers (30th-worst in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, identifying this as a difficult matchup.

The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.

The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from competing against the most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year (the Knicks).

The Magic have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against New York is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Knicks are playing at home (26th-least in the league).

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