Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs New York Knicks · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 15.6 rate, Paolo Banchero's field goal attempts have risen this year to 17.7 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 47.7% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, making this a good matchup.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have collected 7.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (reducing possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 111.6 points per game comes in as the 5th-weakest in the league this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Magic will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New York Knicks).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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