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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted 21.3 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games away from his home court, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Paolo Banchero has converted 56.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 23.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Paolo Banchero has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, making this a good matchup.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The matchup vs. the Heat may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (14th-least in the NBA).

Paolo Banchero will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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