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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has averaged 28.4 points per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 3.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.

Paolo Banchero has attempted 6.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Paolo Banchero has tallied 34.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have secured 8.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.

The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

The Magic will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves are on their home court (7th-least in the NBA).

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