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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Memphis Grizzlies vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted 21.7 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.8 minutes per game this year.

The Magic have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have captured 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Paolo Banchero has successfully made 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this season while playing away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Grizzlies are at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should decrease plays for the Orlando Magic.

Paolo Banchero stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this contest.

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