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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paolo Banchero has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted overall this year.
  • Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 29th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).
  • The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Orlando Magic.
  • Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have come down with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Heat (lengthening possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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