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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 1/13/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted 24.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Paolo Banchero has played 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's played in all games this season.

The Thunder have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Magic.

Paolo Banchero has made 7.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Magic's excellent 27.3 foul shot attempts per game while playing away from home places best in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.3% on field goals (8th-worst in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing teams have come down with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can create extra chances for offense).

Paolo Banchero should suffer a drop-off in performance for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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