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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted 23.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.

This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic.

The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

The Magic rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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