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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has put up 26.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.9 more than he's put up over the course of the season on the road.

Paolo Banchero has missed 1.9 3-point attempts per game this year, significantly less than his 2.8 mark last year.

Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.

The Magic have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Boston is a tough one; when the Boston Celtics are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (13.6).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Magic.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Orlando Magic rank 6thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the foul line.

Paolo Banchero will likely see a decline in effectiveness across the board in light of playing away from home in this game.

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