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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has sunk 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the year.

Paolo Banchero has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile.

The Orlando Magic are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 9thbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against Indiana may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers are away from home (24th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last season.

The Magic rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Indiana is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Indiana Pacers are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).

The Magic have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

While at home, the Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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