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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted 16.2 shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

In comparison to last season's 2.8 clip, Paolo Banchero's missed three-point shots have regressed this season to 1.9 per game.

Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 9thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Paolo Banchero has attempted 8.3 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 7.1 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shooting, the Magic's subpar 103.7 points per game as the away team places fewest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Chicago is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Bulls are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-least baskets per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.4).

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Magic.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 13.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (retaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).

Paolo Banchero stands to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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