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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has totaled 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's totaled overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.

The Magic have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

The Magic are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).

The Magic rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted a lowly 2.7 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly less than his 4.0 rate last season.

The Orlando Magic have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Nets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 13th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.1).

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Nets are the visiting team (10th-least in the NBA).

Paolo Banchero should experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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