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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has posted 20.0 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 92nd percentile.

Paolo Banchero has averaged 33.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Magic.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has sunk 24.7% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Spurs is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.1).

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Paolo Banchero will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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