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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has posted 20.1 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 92nd percentile.

Paolo Banchero has played 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.

The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (15.8).

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has converted 24.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, putting him in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Magic.

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (8th-least in the league).

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