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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2023

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has posted 20.0 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.

Paolo Banchero has averaged 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Bucks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.

The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has made 23.4% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 14th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 25 games (11.4).

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (12th-least in the NBA).

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