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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Paolo Banchero has posted 19.9 points per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 92nd percentile.
  • Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile.
  • The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road.
  • The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise plays for the Magic.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Paolo Banchero has made 23.6% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, ranking him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a tough one; when the Bucks have the home court advantage, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.2).
  • The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the NBA).
  • Paolo Banchero will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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