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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has scored 19.7 points per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 91st percentile.

Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has converted 24.1% of his treys since the start of last season, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (12.2).

The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease opportunities for the Magic.

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game this year when the Pelicans are at home (15th-least in the league).

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