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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has scored 21.0 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 90th percentile.

Paolo Banchero has converted 1.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.

Paolo Banchero has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.

The Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Grizzlies.

As a team, the Orlando Magic have been among the best at drawing fouls: 9th-best in the NBA this year, totaling 25.1 free throw attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed overall this season.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while at home this year.

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a hard one for shots from the field; without the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 8th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.6).

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