Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/22/2025

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Oct 22, 2025

Updated Oct 23, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-142/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup.
Paolo Banchero is expected to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (79th percentile).
When it comes to three-pointers, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 11.1 drained threes per game ranks lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league since the start of last season.
The Magic are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace team in the league since the start of last season (the Heat).

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