Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Chicago Bulls vs Orlando Magic · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 2.8 clip, Paolo Banchero's missed three-point shots have regressed this season to 1.9 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Bulls are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.4).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 9thbest in in the league with the home court advantage with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
In terms of three-pointers, the Orlando Magic's lackluster 10.3 successful threes per game while playing at home rates 4th-worst in the league this year.
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Magic.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 13.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (retaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Paolo Banchero stands to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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