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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero slots into the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.

The Magic have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

The Magic are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 10th-quickest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).

The Magic rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Nets have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has attempted a lowly 2.7 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly less than his 4.0 rate last season.

Paolo Banchero has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA while on their home court this year has been the Magic.

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one for three-point shots; when the Nets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 13th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.1).

Paolo Banchero should experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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