Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-205).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has sunk 64.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 36.7% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on his home court.
Paolo Banchero has averaged 33.1 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Orlando Magic have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 21st-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 19 games when the Pistons are on the road (4.1).
The matchup vs. Marvin Bagley III is a good one for treys; when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have converted a whopping 40.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc (90th percentile).

Favors Under

The Pistons have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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