Paolo Banchero Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 3.6 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 83rd percentile.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Magic.
Paolo Banchero will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Pacers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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