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Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 6.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted overall this year.

Onyeka Okongwu has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's played in all games this season.

The rate of threes converted against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (40.8%) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.

The Hawks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Onyeka Okongwu places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.5 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when Ware is playing on the road and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game (6th percentile).

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