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Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 61.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 5.7% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied overall this year.

The rate of threes made against Kel'el Ware has been very high (45.0%) when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in the NBA as the road team with 12.8 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Onyeka Okongwu has made 21.7% of his 3-pointers when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 18th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Kel'el Ware has been quite low this year (2.3 foul shots per game: 7th percentile).

Onyeka Okongwu will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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