Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 51.9% of his field goals on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Raptors have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to increase possessions for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 19.7 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 22.6% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Onyeka Okongwu has committed 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The Hawks have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lengthening possessions that can bring about further opportunities for offense).

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