Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 66.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Onyeka Okongwu should see an increase in production in all stat categories on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 24.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Onyeka Okongwu lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.9 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Hawks rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 26.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.