Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-121/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 5.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise produce further chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Onyeka Okongwu rates in the 14th percentile for 3-point prowess with a a bad 21.9% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Onyeka Okongwu places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.8 fouls per game while at home this year.
This matchup is a positive one for threes; opposing clubs have put up the 10th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.5%).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Kings are away from home, the other team has attempted an enormous 26.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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