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Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu Points
Player Prop - 11/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 64.9% of his shot attempts from the field at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.1 fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.

The Hawks have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

This matchup is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, the other team has averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league against them since the start of last season (36.6).

Onyeka Okongwu will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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