Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:26 PM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has made 74.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.
Onyeka Okongwu has converted 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 20.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for field goals; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most buckets per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

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