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Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Onyeka Okongwu has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year on the road.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Onyeka Okongwu has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.

This matchup is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Heat have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point shots per game in the league against them this year (13.8).

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.

Onyeka Okongwu will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player production in all stat categories.

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