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Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 77.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 11.5% higher than he's made overall this year.

The matchup against the Bulls is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (108.6).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu has made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Onyeka Okongwu has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.

With the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Atlanta Hawks have been bad at getting to the free throw line: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 22.4 foul shots per game.

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Bulls are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted a massive 24.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (7th-most in the NBA).

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